Astute analysis. I think you might be write about Trump winning, but I don’t suppose we’ll know for sure for at least a couple of weeks LOL. They’re already reporting there will be delays in election results. Kinda interesting split amongst Muslim votes though. You think that many Muslims will vote for Kamala? I wonder if ISPU will do any after election polling on that one
Well, if my numbers are close to right, they would represent a huge drop off in Dem support from the last election. Perhaps not as big as many would have hoped (or liked), but there are many constituencies within our community that are still stubbornly Dem or will concede to it as preferable to Trump when push comes to shove. That's my guess.
Yeah, you're probably right about that. I'm sure many will fall pressure to last minute "democracy is on the ballot/don't vote for the spoiler" campaign
I think the situation in which Harris loses and Muslims are blamed depends entirely on which states are responsible for her loss. A Harris loss due to Michigan will almost certainly be blamed on the Abandon Harris movement, but I'm not sure any other permutation will produce the same outcome. Even in states where an argument could be made that Muslim voting was responsible for a Dem. loss, I think the popular media will prefer other explanations (economic anxiety among whites, latinos voting Trump, etc.). Michigan is unique in being the only state where I don't think those other explanations are going to be seen as viable, especially given how obviously her campaign has failed to court Muslims there (the removal of the Muslim from the rally, this new Bill Clinton nonsense, the Trump endorsements etc.).
Astute analysis. I think you might be write about Trump winning, but I don’t suppose we’ll know for sure for at least a couple of weeks LOL. They’re already reporting there will be delays in election results. Kinda interesting split amongst Muslim votes though. You think that many Muslims will vote for Kamala? I wonder if ISPU will do any after election polling on that one
Well, if my numbers are close to right, they would represent a huge drop off in Dem support from the last election. Perhaps not as big as many would have hoped (or liked), but there are many constituencies within our community that are still stubbornly Dem or will concede to it as preferable to Trump when push comes to shove. That's my guess.
Yeah, you're probably right about that. I'm sure many will fall pressure to last minute "democracy is on the ballot/don't vote for the spoiler" campaign
*right
I think the situation in which Harris loses and Muslims are blamed depends entirely on which states are responsible for her loss. A Harris loss due to Michigan will almost certainly be blamed on the Abandon Harris movement, but I'm not sure any other permutation will produce the same outcome. Even in states where an argument could be made that Muslim voting was responsible for a Dem. loss, I think the popular media will prefer other explanations (economic anxiety among whites, latinos voting Trump, etc.). Michigan is unique in being the only state where I don't think those other explanations are going to be seen as viable, especially given how obviously her campaign has failed to court Muslims there (the removal of the Muslim from the rally, this new Bill Clinton nonsense, the Trump endorsements etc.).
"Voting" in 2024 lol
Where have you been? Certainly not in reality